HVAC Residential Market

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The Energy Star program received a bump in funding for 2026, a reversal from the administration’s previous position of seeking to eliminate it. 

37% of HVAC contractors offer financing options on every job. 

With residential HVAC slumping, data centers are driving growth — but new chip designs, local resistance, and even space-based alternatives raise questions about whether that boom will last.

Several OEMs implemented multiple rounds of increases across equipment and parts, while copper-related components and select IAQ products saw higher movement.  

An HVAC system failure during peak heating season can lead to lost revenue for businesses. 

Nearly 2 million fewer a/c and heat pump units were shipped in 2025 compared to 2024, according to the latest data from AHRI. 

Those in the geothermal business see plenty of opportunity, but say the expiration of a tax credit for residential projects is a setback.  

New homes in Oregon will be built using heat pumps instead of ducted a/c, a move that might be replicated in other states. 

The startup’s end-to-end platform turns smartphone scans into ACCA-certified, DOE-validated upgrade designs, and just secured $16.8 million to grow.