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HVAC manufacturers warn of a residential sales slowdown this fall, due to refrigerant shortages, mild weather, and cautious homeowners 

The shipment data reflect a market still adapting to challenges presented by the transition to A2L-compatible equipment, a shortage of aftermarket R-454B for use by contractors, and uncertainty about the Trump administration's tariff policy.

The move to low-GWP refrigerants isn’t just about regulations — it’s about new tools, new tech, and new ways to win customers.

Tired of delays and paperwork? See how self-executing agreements might unlock a smarter, smoother future for service-based HVAC operations.

Contractors may just be getting used to R-454B and R-32, but manufacturers are already eyeing the next generation of ultra-low-GWP refrigerants.

Tariffs on Canada were raised to 35%, although goods covered under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) — including HVAC products — are exempt.

Temporary supply chain friction is being weaponized to sabotage a domestic policy that protects American jobs, technology, and economic leadership.

A refrigerant shortage, tariffs, and IRA uncertainty combined to create a turbulent summer, highlighting the urgent need for better planning and coordination across the HVAC industry.

HVACR contractors must be informed about natural refrigerants such as CO₂ and ammonia in order to help clients meet regulatory mandates and sustainability goals.