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HVAC ContractingNewsBusiness ManagementHVAC Residential MarketBusiness Services

Stop the Revenue Yo-Yo

How smart contractors win the shoulder season and pull ahead for next year

By Chris Lollini, Devon Murphy
Technician Servicing Shoulder Season
sturti / E+ / Getty Images
October 31, 2025

Every fall, the same cycle repeats itself. The phones slow down, the weather cools, and contractors everywhere start tightening their belts. The first instinct? Slash marketing. Cut anything that doesn’t feel “essential.”

But here’s the thing: That’s exactly how the revenue yo-yo starts.

You’ve probably seen it (maybe even lived it). You hit a slow patch, cut marketing to save cash, and then when the busy season hits, you’re scrambling to rebuild momentum. You overspend trying to catch up, maybe even double down on a few campaigns just to get the phones ringing again. The jobs roll in, things stabilize … and then shoulder season arrives again, and the cycle repeats.

It’s a rollercoaster that never ends — and it’s costing you far more than you realize.

The contractors who win in the long term don’t play defense in the shoulder season. They play offense. They keep cashflow moving, protect their marketing budget, and use this slower stretch to strengthen their sales teams and sharpen their systems. That’s how they pull further ahead while everyone else hits the brakes.

So, how do you do it?

Step 1: Reactivate — Your Gold Mine Is Already in Your Database

Most contractors don’t need more leads at this time. They need to do more with the ones they already have.

Looking for quick answers on air conditioning, heating and refrigeration topics? Try Ask ACHR NEWS, our new smart AI search tool. Ask ACHR NEWS →

Your customer database is a gold mine of opportunity — if you actually work it. The shoulder season is the perfect time to reach back out to customers from the past few seasons. Book tuneups, maintenance visits, and replacement estimates. A quick SMS campaign to existing customers can fill your schedule faster than you think. We just helped a contractor pull $135,000 in booked work in five days — from only 250 contacts. That’s not a typo. They didn’t spend a dime on ads. They just reactivated their database. The key is simple: Reach out directly, make it personal, and get them back on the calendar. Please don’t wait for the phone to ring. Go make it ring.

Step 2: Rehash — Unsold Estimates Are Cash on the Table

Every estimate that didn’t close this summer still represents a potential sale. Maybe the customer was waiting. Maybe the price scared them off. Maybe life just got busy. Whatever the reason, those unsold estimates are money sitting on the table. Go back and re-engage those prospects. Find out why they didn’t buy, address the objection, and offer solutions. Yes, you might have to shave a little off your margin to get the deal done — but remember: Gross profit dollars keep you alive, not gross margin percentages. Cash flow is oxygen, especially in the shoulder season. You can’t survive on “potential” sales or perfect percentages. You survive on booked work, paid invoices, and money in the bank.

Step 3: Train — Because Weather Shouldn’t Be Your Sales Strategy

When summer’s hot, urgency sells systems for you. When it’s not, your team has to earn every conversion. Again, the shoulder season is the perfect time to invest in real training. Not just product knowledge, but sales development. Teach your team how to ask better questions, connect emotionally, and present options that make customers feel confident saying “yes.” A well-trained team makes every marketing dollar go further. When conversion rates go up, your cost per lead effectively goes down — and that’s how you keep marketing sustainable all year long. So instead of cutting your training or coaching budget, double down on it, because your people are your most profitable investment.

Step 4: Happy Calls — Turn Summer Customers into Fall Revenue

Your summer installs were great for cashflow then — but they can be just as valuable now. Have your team reach out and do “happy calls.” Check in with every customer you served this summer. Make sure they’re thrilled with the work. Ask if they’d like to hear about smart thermostats, IAQ upgrades, or membership options to protect their new system. And while you’re at it, ask for a review. Encourage them to mention the service they received and the city they’re in. Those local signals build authority and visibility in your service area, helping your marketing dollars stretch even further.

Step 5: Stay Lean, Not Cheap

Being lean doesn’t mean being cheap. It means being intentional. Take a hard look at your expenses. Cut what doesn’t serve you right now — recruiting agencies, overpriced after-hours answering services, redundant software, unnecessary subscriptions. But don’t touch the things that create momentum: marketing, training, customer communication. If you pull back too far, you’ll suffocate your own growth. Instead, protect your marketing budget so you can stay visible while competitors go dark. That’s when the most innovative companies grab market share. You can’t buy back momentum once you lose it.

Play Offense — and Stop the Revenue Yo-Yo for Good

The shoulder season isn’t a slowdown. It’s an opportunity to re-engage your customers, retrain your team, and realign your strategy.

Stop reacting to the calendar and start running your business on purpose. Because the companies that stay steady, keep investing, and play offense right now are the ones that will dominate next summer. The rest? They’ll still be on the rollercoaster, wondering why they can’t get off. So take a deep breath, look at your numbers, and make the moves that keep your momentum alive. The goal isn’t to survive the shoulder season — it’s to win it!

KEYWORDS: Customer Service and HVACR Growth in HVAC Business Marketing and HVACR training technicians

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Chris lollini headshot

Chris Lollini is the owner of Reputation Igniter, an agency built to do one thing exceptionally well: engineer consistent Google Business Profile visibility for HVAC and plumbing companies. With over a decade serving the trades, Chris focuses on what actually matters—visibility that turns into service calls and installs, not marketing theater.
Before founding Reputation Igniter, Chris served in the U.S. Navy as a nuclear engineer, leading reactor mechanical systems in combat-zone deployments, overseeing large-scale HVAC, plumbing, and fluid systems. That background shaped his respect for the trades and his systems-driven approach to local SEO.
Chris is a devoted husband and father of three. When work and family allow, you’ll find him surfing or snowboarding.
https://reputationigniter.com     chris@reputationigniter.com

Devon murphy
Devon Murphy, founder and president of Reignite Sales Solutions, is a recognized leader in home service business growth and sales transformation. He began his career as an appointment generator and quickly rose through the ranks—earning leadership roles in service, sales, and operations. As a Training Project Manager for a $100M+ company, Devon led initiatives that redefined performance standards, including the launch of a call-by-call division that transformed field results. Fueled by a passion to elevate the trades, he founded Reignite Sales Solutions to bring enterprise-level systems, structure, and sales mastery to family-owned businesses—helping teams nationwide grow with integrity, excellence, and purpose.

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