HVAC Residential Market

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The report suggests the biggest competitive advantages in 2026 will come from operational discipline, recurring revenue strategies, and company culture. 

Residential geothermal contractors have relied on tax credits since 2005, but the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act will end the 30% credit in 2025. A previous credit removal in 2016 caused a 45% sales drop, leading to pessimism for 2026. However, demand for geothermal remains strong.

May shipment data show contractors can expect cooling equipment, including heat pumps, to be primary drivers while water heaters remain soft. 

HVAC experts say addressing performance drift can be tricky since it isn’t apparent. Learn the signs and how to stop small issues from becoming larger ones.  

As electrification continues to evolve, attention to system sizing remains an important component of performance-focused HVAC design. 

Stan Johnson remembers when engineers sought out his family's company because they had something few HVAC contractors did: a homemade vacuum pump. 

In a volatile HVAC market, contractors are learning that pricing cannot be left to gut instinct, old schedules, or last month’s costs. 

Find out how the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act could impact the HVAC industry, from streamlining projects to smart tech adoption.

DOE claims it will permanently end appliance and equipment mandates that raise prices with its latest proposed rulemaking. 

AI is reshaping the customer journey as homeowners research HVAC systems, well before ever making the first contractor call.