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HVAC Breaking News

Aug. 19, 2002: Home Builder Expectations Are Down Modestly

By Greg Mazurkiewicz
August 16, 2002
WASHINGTON, DC — On the heels of record-breaking home sales this summer, builders are adjusting their expectations to reflect a lower, but still robust level of activity in the market for new single-family homes, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI). The August HMI declined four points to 57, its lowest level since year-end 2001, after holding within one point of 60 for the last five months.

“This is something of an expected ‘reality check’ following the exceptionally strong activity of early summer,” said Gary Garczynski, NAHB president. “Builders remain justifiably confident in a market in which buyer demand is being bolstered by historically low interest rates on home mortgages. They simply view overall conditions as healthy and stable rather than extraordinary.”

The HMI is derived from a monthly survey of builders that NAHB has been conducting for almost 20 years. The average index reading over this period has been 54. Scores for responses to each component are used to arrive at a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.

All of the HMI’s component indexes slipped in August. However, NAHB continues to forecast that sales of new homes this year will surpass last year’s record 908,000 units.

Publication date: 08/19/2002

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Greg Mazurkiewicz is Web Editor. He can be contacted at 248-244-6459 or gregmazurkiewicz@achrnews.com. Greg handles the day-to-day operations of The NEWS' website, www.achrnews.com, including the Extra Edition page, which offers additional online-exclusive articles. He has 40 years of experience as a writer and editor. He holds a bachelor's degree in Journalism and a master's degree in Business Management.

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