“During the past 10 years, there have only been four months when sales growth was in the 30s and all four were this year,” said Brian Loftus, market research and benchmarking analyst, HARDI. “This month was helped by being compared to a prior year that was unusually warm, it had an extra billing day, and was passing through the extraordinary price increases on top of the strong underlying market demand.   It’s been quite a year”

The Days Sales Outstanding (DSO), a measure of how quickly customers pay their bills, was 43.5 days at the end of November 2021. 

“The monthly DSO this month was a bit better than last year,” said Loftus. “The pre-pandemic norm for November was in the 48-49 day area. The record sales growth is a result of strong end market demand and the pass through of the extraordinary price increases. The Producer Price Index for Primary Air Conditioning, Forced Air Heating and Refrigeration products has increased by 12.6% through October 2021. The median PPI increase across the past 10 or 20 pre-pandemic years was only 2%.

“COVID and inflation concerns have slashed consumer sentiment, but it is not showing up yet in end market demand,” continued Loftus. “Inventories for our industry, whether you look at the TRENDS report or the Wholesale Trade report, are improving and that is probably helping with the continued strong current demand, and getting an early start on preparing for next year.”